Buh-bye, Erin —   don’t let the door hit you in the keester on your way out.  ?

Poor Erin O’Toole. The Tory leader is just hours, days or — at the very outside — weeks away from being deposed as leader of Canada’s Conservative Party.

Politics, can be a cruel and unforgiving mistress — particularly, when victory has been spurned. Winning two fewer seats in 2021 than Andrew Scheer achieved in 2019? The knives currently lodged in O’Toole’s back must hurt something fierce.

Erin O’Toole accused of betraying Conservatives. Faces leadership challenge.

The headline above was a Wednesday front page story in The Globe and Mail.

Bert Chen, an elected Ontario national council member, told the Globe’s Laura Stone & Ian Bailey that “many party members are upset with Mr. O’Toole’s attempt to make the party appear more centrist, which they believe resulted in the Tories’ loss of seats in Monday’s vote, as well as diminished support in urban areas.”

“The feedback from the members … is that Erin has betrayed their trust, and that Erin’s leadership based off of these results is a failure, and he needs to go,” Mr. Chen said in an interview with The Globe.

“Accountability and integrity are central to what Conservatives want out of a leader, which is why we don’t like Justin Trudeau. But Erin O’Toole has demonstrated he’s no better than Justin Trudeau.”

The Globe reports that Mr. Chen has launched an online petition to trigger a review of Mr. O’Toole’s leadership. The Conservative Party’s constitution says the national council is responsible for conducting referendums in response to valid petitions.

After the election, Erin O’Toole told party members that he, too, was disappointed with the Tories’ performance, and promised to launch a review of the party’s electoral strategy — but Mr. Chen said he doesn’t trust Mr. O’Toole’s review, and that the Conservative leader has not been contrite enough in his public comments about the election loss, adding that he was concerned that “Mr. O’Toole’s hardline comments about China had made Chinese-Canadians feel uncomfortable.”

Ousted Richmond, B.C. Tory MP Kenny Chiu says supporters ‘abandoned’ him in the 2021 election

Both Richmond Conservative MPs — Kenny Chiu, in Steveston-Richmond East, and Alice Wong, in Richmond Centre — lost their seats on election night to their Liberal Party challengers, 34-year-old Wilson Miao and Parm Bains, respectively.

As reported in the South China Morning Post …

“Weeks after being comfortably elected in Steveston-Richmond East, one of Canada’s most ethnically Chinese electorates, Chiu was back in his birthplace of Hong Kong as an international monitor for the city’s district council elections.

He would go on to become Vice-Chair of Parliament’s subcommittee on international human rights, which sanctioned Chinese individuals and entities over alleged human rights violations in Xinjiang.

But now, after less than two years as an MP, Chiu is out, having suffered a hefty swing against him of 8.3 percentage points in Monday’s election.

The Chinese government sanctioned Chiu for his role on the rights committee, with China’s ambassador, Cong Peiwu, launching a thinly veiled attack on the Conservative. Chiu’s Tory colleague and fellow Hong Kong immigrant Alice Wong — a Tory MP since 2008 — suffered an even worse swing of 11.9%, in what was previously a Conservative stronghold. In total, the Tories lost 4 Lower Mainland seats.

Disaster looms unless the Conservative party (re)discovers what it stands for

Erin O’Toole won the Conservative Party leadership in 2019 in part because Tory members believed he could make the same sort of inroads in the GTA (Greater Toronto Area) that Stephen Harper had in three successive elections.

In fact, the Liberals once again all but swept the GTA, with the Conservatives winning only a paltry and dispiriting 7 of 78 GTA seats, including Tory leader Erin O’Toole’s Durham seat. On a bleak night, gay Conservative icon, Melissa Lantsman (pictured above) — soon to become a star in the Tory caucus, and in the House of Commons (who’ll be entertaining as all get out) — managed to hang onto the Thornhill seat previously occupied by outgoing former Tory Minister, Peter Kent.

In general, Canada’s Conservative Party supports conservative social & economic policies & values, a strong federal system of government — while leaving the provinces alone in their areas of jurisdiction —  and the use of Canada’s armed forces in international peacekeeping missions — or, as the party states on its website …

The Conservative Party of Canada is founded on the principles of peace and freedom on the world stage; responsible management of taxpayers’ money; a welcoming land of refuge for the world’s persecuted and afflicted; the defence of clean Canadian technologies; and a clear understanding of responsibilities between levels of government.

In 2021, what values do members of the Conservative Party cherish, and what policies would members like to see implemented? Erin O’Toole proposed cutting the Liberal child care plan — to save billions of dollars of taxpayer money, he said — but then proposed a Conservative Party spending budget of well over $100 billion dollars, exceeding by more than $20 billion the Liberal Party spending plan.

So, any measure of fiscal responsibility and reduced government spending would seem not to be on the Conservative Party agenda, in 2021, or anytime soon.

During the Election, O’Toole flip flopped on gun control, climate change, abortion, and pandemic and spending policy — for anyone following the Election closely, their heads were left spinning, so frequent were the changes made on the fly to the Tory platform, angering the party’s base, and causing confusion among Canadians.

In 2021, is the Conservative Party the Progressive Conservative Party of old — the safely centrist and socially progressive tweedledum to the Liberals tweedledee, when it was difficult to tell one neoliberal party from the other — or is the Conservative Party of today, at its very heart and in the main, the raucous amalgam of western-based and socially and fiscally conservative Reform Alliance members that Stephen Harper managed to cobble together with Progressive Conservatives in 2003 as the new (sans Progressive) Conservative Party of Canada?

Although Erin O’Toole spoke with Stephen Harper each day of the campaign — Harper wanted to stay out of the Election fray for fear of alienating potential voters — the current, Erin O’Toole-led iteration of the Conservative Party seems to be suffering from a crisis of identity, far too left and spend thrifty for the Reform Alliance members in their party, and not nearly as progressive on social issues as many Tory members feel is warranted in the much-changed world that is 2021.

Conservative-minded Globe and Mail columnist John Ibbitson and Ipsos-Reid CEO Darrell Bricker wrote in their book, The Big Shift, that the 21st century belongs to the Conservative Party as much as the 20th century belonged to the Liberal Party.

But they’re wrong, dead wrong.

In fact, the Conservative Party is a corporatist political party in its death throes, with a group of neanderthal malcontent members who want to reclaim a world that never was, a Trumpian, nearly all white nirvana where men ruled the roost, and women stayed home barefoot and pregnant, raising the kids, and making fer damn sure, her husband’s dinner was on the table when he got home from work.

History moves inexorably forward, and change for the better always occurs

On Monday, April 15, 1912, after striking an iceberg during her maiden voyage from Southampton to New York City, the British passenger liner, the Titanic, sank in the frigid waters of the North Atlantic. More than 1500 women, men and children — out of an estimated 2,224 passengers and crew onboard that fateful night — died a watery death in the deadliest peacetime sinking of a cruise ship to date.

All but a handful of the third class passengers in the below decks died, while almost all of the passengers traveling in the top decks, first class accommodation managed to get off the ship and onto the boats and life rafts — of which there were far too few to meet the needs of all of the passengers onboard, going on to live productive lives. Not so for the families of the passengers traveling in third class.

For weeks, months and years following the sinking of the Titanic, the New York Times published hundreds of stories on the rank indifference of a society that would allow the “lower classes” to die with nary a consideration, while better valuing the lives of the first class passengers, most of whom survived — unlike the poor children, women and men in the below decks. The furor that was raised by the New York Times’ relentless years-long coverage of the tragedy of the sinking of the Titanic lead to fundamental and substantive change in societies across the world, and a re-definition of a person’s worth, not determined by the money or position s/he held but rather by the character and the familial bonds common to all people.

Over the past century, unions organized workers, creating a new and vibrant middle class; access to a post secondary education expanded dramatically across the population, creating opportunity; women not only got the vote but the feminist movement that began a century ago blossoms through until this day, making the lives of girls and women that much better, with access to opportunity a fundamental tenet of the rise of the cause of women and girls; members of the LGBTQ2+ population have come out of hiding, so that today we celebrate the community daily, same sex marriage is a common feature of western society, and annually in small & large communities, we participate in Pride Day parades and ceremonies.

Which is all by way of saying: history moves inexorably forward, as it always has.

We are not going back to the mean old days of a Stephen Harper, a Mike Harris or a first-term Gordon Campbell, and neither will Canadians elect a regressive Conservative Party to the halls of power in Ottawa. Before the end of the century, private property will have become a thing of our unjust past, as co-operative and community-owned housing becomes the order of the day, and the norm; rights will continue to expand, as we recognize that the exercise of our rights entails a responsibility to the larger community around us; women, men, children, persons of colour, minority and immigrant communities will all work together, as we achieve our goal of an inclusive and more just society that serves the interests of all.

And, yes, that means the New Democratic Party will become Canada’s political party of the 21st century, our country’s natural governing party, consigning a still progressive but not progressive enough Liberal Party as a perpetual opposition party — or, more likely, proportional representation will carry the day, in order that all Canadian voices might be heard, Canada still very much in the years to come a leading progressive country, dedicated to social and economic justice for all.