All posts by Raymond Tomlin

About Raymond Tomlin

Raymond Tomlin is a veteran journalist and educator who has written frequently on the political realm — municipal, provincial and federal — as well as on cinema, mainstream popular culture, the arts, and technology.

Day Four: Dull Early Days in Decision BC 2013


THE TYEE ELECTION MAP & GUIDE

Should you click on the graphic above, you’ll be taken to The Tyee’s B.C. election map, which provides a breakdown of B.C.’s 85 electoral ridings, who the candidates are in each riding, riding related news and other bumpf.
The early days of Decision BC 2013 are, necessarily (as the headline above suggests): dull. The media is barely engaged, the election is hardly on the electorate’s radar as the more prosaic matters of daily life take precedence, and with polls suggesting a smashing victory for the BC New Democrats, a goodly portion of those who are even remotely engaged all but tune out, expecting that sweeping NDP victory May 14th. Liberals in power for 12 years, the thinking goes, it’s time for a new government. Barring any major missteps, or a terrible performance by Adrian Dix in the leaders debate on April 29th (which NDP campaign manager Brian Topp will never let happen), the election will bring what the gods have writ: a near smashing victory for the all-but-inevitable and soon-to-be BC New Democratic government.
Post the leaders debate on April 29th, interest will ramp up; that’s when the real campaign will start. You just have to look at the last federal election. Going into the leaders debate, with just two weeks to go in the campaign, then federal NDP leader Jack Layton was mired at 13% in the polls. The word was he was sickly, and on his way out of politics. Following the leaders debate, though, in which Layton’s ‘performance’ was deemed to be engaging by a public hankering for a touch of humanity in its politicians, the NDP catapulted to 31% in the polls, and opposition in the Canadian Parliament. Following the BC leaders debate, there’ll be two weeks left in the BC election campaign — it’ll be anybody’s game from that point on.

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VanRamblings spent the day getting smucked at the Kitsilano Community Centre, where we had our tookus handed to us on a platter at the AGM. Migawd, we couldn’t even manage to secure a position as a member-at-large. Maybe next time we’ll have to leave our devil horns at home.
Sad to say, dear and constant reader, that you’re going to have to put up with VanRamblings in something of a foul mood (youse just can’t cover up these kind of things, y’know?). Hell, maybe the writing’s even better.
Or, maybe not (that’s a bitter tear trickling down my cheek, by the way).

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So, what went on in the big bad world of BC politics on Thursday?

  • Early in the day, over in Courtenay, in the First Student Bus workyard, of all places (I mean, really, a virulently anti-Union company staging ground?), BC NDP leader Adrian Dix committed an NDP government to spending $372 million over three years to improve public education in B.C. (a good thing, a needed thing), and another $100 million over three years to lower costs and increase child care spaces for infant and toddler care (the proverbial drop in the bucket, and hardly the $10/day Child Care Plan advocates have been demanding for months).

    In this Vancouver Sun story, you’ll find a particularly nasty exchange between CTV’s Rob Brown and Adrian Dix, where Adrian acquits himself well. Let’s hope he brings the same cojones to the leaders debate.

Otherwise, that’s about it, folks. Not much coverage of the election in the Mop and Pail. There’s always this, though: The Province giving the beleaguered John Cummins, leader of the BC Conservatives, a bit of coverage, even if it’s only a 166-word CP wire story. Ah well.
Not to be mean (because we don’t believe in the politics of personal destruction), but we simply can’t help ourselves. Hey, the Raeside editorial cartoon is not ours, but y’know what, I bet there are a few people out there (including BC Liberals) who agree with the sentiment.
Christy Clark, Raeside cartoon
That’s all she wrote, folks. Til tomorrow.
(For the latest VanRamblings election coverage, click on Decision BC 2013)
(For those of you who arrived here looking for coverage of last week’s Kitsilano Community Centre AGM — as sorry an example of untoward democratic engagement as you’re ever likely to witness — VanRamblings’ coverage of the KitsCC AGM may be found here. The Vancouver Courier’s Sandra Thomas has written about the KitsCC AGM, as well, her coverage of the delirious, anti-community meeting to be found here.)

Day Three: Decision BC 2013 Continues March to Election Day


UBC Sauder Prediction Market


The University of British Columbia’s Sauder School of Business, once again in 2013, will run their Election Prediction Market, having succeeded in 2009 in quite accurately predicting the results of British Columbia’s previous provincial election. For the duration of the 2013 election, the fine folks out at UBC will provide daily updates to the Globe and Mail, with their up-to-minute projection of popular vote share and legislature seat share predictions. VanRamblings will continue to provide you with links and graphics, although you may want to bookmark the Globe and Mail page.
Otherwise, it was a rather quiet day on the hustings on Wednesday, April 17th — so, without further ado then, we’ll just jump right in to the media coverage of Decision BC 2013 for the day.

Vancouver Courier. Andrew Fleming posits that we’ll see at least three new MLAs take their seats in the British Columbia legislature following May 14th, suggesting in his article that newly-minted Liberal candidate, multi-hyphenate doctor / lawyer / Rhodes Scholar, etc. Andrew Wilkinson remains an absolute lock to take Vancouver Quilchena, while the odds favour former BC Civil Liberties Executive Director David Eby in Vancouver Point Grey to defeat Premier Christy Clark, with Sierra Club BC Executive Director George Heyman set to take Vancouver Fairview away from physician and BC Liberal Minister of Health, Margaret MacDiarmid.
The Tyee. Meanwhile, Natascia Lypny encourages us to meet the youngest candidates vying for a seat in the legislature: a delivery driver, a bank staffer, a restaurant manager, and a grocer, viable candidates all.
With an average age of 24, BCNDP candidate for Langley Andrew Mercier, Green Party of BC Victoria-Swan Lake candidate Spencer Malthouse, Liberal candidate for Port Coquitlam, Barbara Lu, and BC Conservative candidate in Nanaimo Bryce Crigger (gotta love that ‘stache) are the youngest candidates from each of the four main parties in this provincial election.
GlobalBC / Glacier Media. Keith Baldrey writes that the NPD are favourites in 50 of the province’s 85 ridings, identifying 40 strong and 10 NDP-leaning ridings, 8 strong Liberal and 14 Liberal-leaning ridings, with14 toss-up ridings, while suggesting that Independents, incumbent Vicki Huntington in Delta South, and Arthur Hadland, in Peace River North will likely emerge triumphant election night.
Globe and Mail. Éric Grenier updates the ThreeHundredEight.com poll VanRamblings published on Tuesday, writing in BC Votes 2013 that …

“Adrian Dix’s New Democrats remain heavily favoured to prevail on May 14 … the New Democrats would take 48 per cent of the vote, the B.C. Liberals 30 per cent, the B.C. Conservatives 12 per cent, and the B.C. Greens 9 per cent. With such a large margin over the Liberals, the NDP should be able to capture between 57 and 73 seats to form a majority government. The Liberals would be reduced to between 10 and 27 seats, while as many as four independents could be elected.”

Bleak numbers for the Liberals, indeed, as Mr. Grenier suggests.
In their Day 2 wrap up story, titled “Confident Clark taking aim at NDP territory“, Justine Hunter and Ian Bailey cover Liberal leader Christy Clark’s day on the hustings. The story’s headline seems misleading, though, given that Clark spent most of her day in traditional Liberal territory, while NDP leader Adrian Dix spent the entirety of Wednesday encroaching on Liberal turf, visiting ridings throughout the traditionally unfriendly Fraser Valley.
For those of you who haven’t read it, the Globe and Mail’s Justine Hunter has written a standout piece on Adrian Dix that is well worth reading.
Georgia Straight. Editor Charlie Smith opines that housing as an issue is getting short shrift by the four main parties, reporting that the Greens pay the most attention, the NDP hasn’t released their platform position on the issue as yet, and the Liberals “brush over housing in their 84-page platform document.” Earlier in the week, Charlie posited five unusual scenarios that could yet make Decision BC 2013 a barn burner interest grabber — the first couple of days of the campaign have emerged as anything but. Interest oughta wax high, though, following the leaders debate (6:30pm – 8pm, April 29th) — which we hope will be more about substance than style.
Yolanda Cole interviewed $10/day Child Care advocate Sharon Gregson, who pretty much called the BC Liberals’ proposed child care registry useless, while The Straight’s Carlito Pablo reports that the Green Party of BC remains the only provincial political party that has as a tenet of their platform that they would legalize and tax marijuana.
Vancouver Sun. Reporter Francois Marchand interviews Ryan McCormick, a director of the Vancouver-based non-profit Safe Amplification Site Society (Safe Amp) - an organization dedicated to creating a permanent all-ages music and arts venue in Vancouver - as Safe Amp injects itself into Decision BC 2013 by calling for an overhaul of BC’s antiquated liquor laws.
In a Canadian Press story published on the Vancouver Sun website, Christy Clark is reportedly attempting to shore up support in bellwether ridings where the Liberals currently trail the NDP.
News from other places. In Andrea Klassen’s Kamloops This Week story, Kamloops-South Thompson BC Liberal candidate Todd Stone seems to be doing everything he can to distance himself from the BC Liberal label, with Klassen suggesting in her article that the argument for Stone’s Decision BC 2013 candidacy “sounds a lot like ‘Stone, not Liberal.'”
Castanet, the Interior online newspaper and magazine, reports that disgraced, now former NDP candidate for Kelowna-Mission Dayleen Van Ryswyk will run as an Independent, Twitter all agog with speculation that she could actually hurt the candidacy of Liberal incumbent Steve Thomson with her racist, intolerant views.

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BIKE TO VOTE

The healthy advocates over at the BC Cycling Coalition urge you to bike to vote and exercise your pedal power on May 14th, suggesting that “through the simple act of pedaling to the polls, you can play your part in actively decreasing traffic congestion, while making our streets and neighbourhoods safer, reducing greenhouse gas emissions, saving time and money, all of which salutary effort will result in improving our collective health and well-being.” We’re putting our helmet on now, and heading out for a ride along the beach, all in preparation to bicycle to our polling station on E-Day.
BC Election 2013: What the Parties Were Up to Wednesday
What platform positions did the four main parties release on April 17th?

  • The British Columbia New Democratic Party committed to freezing ferry fares while a newly-elected NDP government awaits the results of an NDP-mandated audit of the financially troubled company. BC NDP leader Adrian Dix also announced that an NDP government would invest $40 million in skills training and $100 million in a student grants programme, annually, as part of the NDP’s plan for jobs and growth.

    Adrian Dix took the fight to Liberal Finance Minister Mike DeJong’s Abbotsford riding on Wednesday, where he NDP told supporters he felt Abbotsford West was an eminently winnable riding for the NDP in 2013.

    You may click here to see the entire 2013 BC NDP candidate team.

  • The BC Liberal party campaign: as we reported earlier Christy Clark spent most of her day shoring up support for her trailing party by spending time in Surrey, the Fraser Valley, Chilliwack and Kamloops, before traveling further north in the late evening.

    The Globe and Mail’s Justine Hunter asked the question, “What will happen to the B.C. Liberals if they lose?”

    “What happens to the Liberals after the polls close at 8pm on May 14? It is treasonous talk, not out in the open. But if the governing party is reduced to a rump — a fate many in the party seemed resigned to — then their focus is on saving seats and resources to rebuild in the election aftermath. Liberal party headquarters is cooking up ways to win back voters. But those pessimists in the party who don’t see that succeeding are already trying to identify the likely survivors to decide who would best lead the coalition so that the NDP victory doesn’t last more than a single term. It is a reason that some candidates in the B.C. Liberal campaign seem to have distanced themselves from Ms. Clark. If her name appears at all on campaign signs, it is in small print. While Ms. Clark is focused on a comeback strategy, some in her party are running a parallel campaign: A comeback in 2017”.

    A “what if” scenario that VanRamblings has been told Ms. Clark has pondered herself in the days leading up to 40th provincial election.

    You’ll find the entire BC Liberal team here.

  • The BC Conservatives are pretty much off the radar in Decision BC 2013. We’re seeing no coverage by the mainstream media, apart from this call by provincial Conservative leader John Cummins to jettison the Pacific Carbon Trust, which he says is nothing more than a scam and corporate welfare system. One suspects that the BC Conservatives are running a stealth campaign in those Interior ridings where they think they’ve got a fighting chance at winning a seat in the legislature. Mainstream media coverage of Mr. Cummins and the BC Conservatives will likely improve after the April 29th leaders debate, with only two weeks to go from that date til election day.

    You’ll find all of the BC Conservative candidates here.

  • The Green Party of BC has found itself surprisingly successful in gaining coverage, most particularly because of the opportunity Andrew Weaver, running in Oak Bay – Gordon Head (a riding to watch election night), has to become British Columbia’s first elected Green Party member in the provincial legislature.

    Green Party of BC candidates? Yep, they’re all here.

We’ll leave you with Global’s BC1 Decision BC 2013 coverage.
(For the latest VanRamblings election coverage, click on Decision BC 2013)
(For those of you who arrived here looking for coverage of last week’s Kitsilano Community Centre AGM — as sorry an example of untoward democratic engagement as you’re ever likely to witness — VanRamblings’ coverage of the KitsCC AGM may be found here. The Vancouver Courier’s Sandra Thomas has written about the KitsCC AGM, as well, her coverage of the delirious, anti-community meeting to be found here.)
Note: Coverage of Decision BC 2013 tomorrow will likely be somewhat more sparse than you’ve witnessed the first three days of the election cycle.

Day Two: Politics in British Columbia a Blood Sport


BC Election 2013 Seat Prediction

The 2013 British Columbia provincial election can hardly be said to have commenced on a high note, thanks to the BC Liberals who dragged out years old comments by BC NDP candidate for Kelowna-Mission Dayleen Van Ryswyk, who promptly resigned her abbreviated candidacy when asked to do so by BC NDP leader, Adrian Dix. The BCNDP will announce a new, better vetted candidate for the south Okanagan riding later in the week.
How much the beleaguered Ms. Van Ryswyk’s aborted candidacy will impact the BCNPD remains to be seen, but as is obvious from the BC Election Prediction Project graphic at the top of this blog post, the BCNDP are a lock for 40 seats in the legislature, just three shy of a majority (85 seats are up for grabs this time around), which would seem to negate most arguments that this “misstep out of the gate” will have much impact at all.

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BC Election 2013: Who To Follow on Twitter
As we’ve written previously, for breaking news, for up-to-the-minute reporting, for insight, cogent analysis (which comes with the links provided) and not a little wit and humour, as well as a fair bit of tête-à-têtes, there is no better forum through which you might keep yourself informed and engaged with what is going on in this crazy world of ours than Twitter.
On Twitter, the commentators you’ll want to follow are (click on the links): Globe and Mail reporters Rod Mickleburgh, Ian Bailey, and Justine Hunter, not to mention, columnist Gary Mason; the Vancouver Sun’s legislative reporter Jonathan Fowlie, as well as columnist Vaughn Palmer; and, let’s not forget Victoria Times-Colonist columnist, Les Leyne; 24 Hours columnist, Laila Yuile; CBC legislative reporter Stephen Smart, Global TV’s Keith Baldrey, CTVBC’s Ed Watson, and CKNW’s Sean Leslie. For a partisan NDP take, there’s David Schreck, for Liberals there’s Alise Mills, and for a barely less partisan approach, you can follow BC Election 2013. In the coming days, VanRamblings will provide further insight into / direction to Twitter accounts dedicated to British Columbia’s 2013 provincial election.
Oh yeah, you might as well check in each day with the provincial party Twitter accounts themselves, to see where the leaders are traveling, and to gain some partisan insight into the “messaging” of each of BC’s steadfast political parties, each one vying for your all important vote: the BC NDP, Today’s BC Liberals, the BC Conservatives (who seem not to have caught on to this new thingamajiggy called Twitter), and the Green Party of BC.

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Former Chief of Staff to Premier Gordon Campbell, Martyn Brown – who last year published the e-book Towards A New Government In British Columbia, and has since emerged as a regular, verging on virulent, critic of the Christy Clark-led BC Liberals – has found a regular forum to publish his musings, in the Georgia Straight. Here are a few of his recent columns …

One imagines that the loquacious Mr. Brown will continue to publish throughout the 28-day election period. Well worth checking out on a regular basis. Good on The Straight for publishing Martyn Brown.

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BC Election 2013: News from Here, There & Everywhere
The mainstream media had their say on BC Election 2013’s opening day …


Elections BC

These are early days in the 40th British Columbia provincial election. The parties are out on the hustings, the candidates are out door knocking, across BC there’ll be burmashaving galore (in Canada, the word burmashaving is used to describe politicians holding signs and waving to traffic by the side of the road, a common sight during election campaigns), you’ll be inundated with suppertime newshour ads, and with more robocalls than you’ll probably be able to handle.
But you can thank your lucky stars that in Canada you are afforded the opportunity to exercise your democratic franchise free of intimidation from the state, and that thanks to the efforts of the good folks at Elections BC - who are doing everything in their power to ensure that come May 14th (or at the advance polls, May 8th through 11th, 8am til 8pm) - you can cast your ballot in peace. Voter, and voting, info may be found here.
(For the latest VanRamblings election coverage, click on Decision BC 2013)
(For those of you who arrived here looking for coverage of last week’s Kitsilano Community Centre AGM — as sorry an example of untoward democratic engagement as you’re ever likely to witness — VanRamblings’ coverage of the KitsCC AGM may be found here. The Vancouver Courier’s Sandra Thomas has written about the KitsCC AGM, as well, her coverage of the delirious, anti-community meeting to be found here.)

The Writ Has Dropped: British Columbia Election 2013 Underway


BC Election 2013 Vote Percentage and Seat Prediction

As of 10 a.m. this morning, the writ was dropped by British Columbia Premier Christy Clark on the 2013 British Columbia provincial election.
Over the course of the next 28 days, British Columbians will be given the opportunity to exercise their hard-fought-for, and much cherished, democratic right to engage in the life of their society by challenging the provincial political parties, and those vying to represent them in the British Columbia legislature, on the future direction of British Columbia, before the final decision will be taken as we cast our critically important ballot to choose the next government of British Columbia, on Tuesday, May 14th.
As is illustrated in ThreeHundredEight.com’s graphic at the top of this blog post, the 2013 British Columbia election is the BC New Democratic Party’s to lose. With an almost insurmountable 18% lead in the polls, the tired and unpopular British Columbia Liberal party would appear to be headed toward ignominious defeat after 12 years in power. And, with a revived and resurgent British Columbia Conservative party challenging the Liberals on their right flank, and the Green Party of BC slated to take as many votes from the Liberals as they will from the New Democrats, BC’s Liberal party will be hard-pressed to retain power come late evening May 14th.
But as if often said, “one day in politics is like a year in the real world.” Who knows what issues will arise between now and May 14th, what core issues of concern will emerge that will be of critical concern to British Columbia’s electorate, or what the response of the public will be to the party leaders following their scheduled Monday, April 29th BC leaders debate?
In the interests of keeping you informed on the political life of British Columbia, over the course of the next 28 days VanRamblings will post regularly on the issues of interest and concern that arise each day between now and May 14th, the various platform announcements by BC’s political parties, and coverage of British Columbia’s 2013 election by the mainstream press, blogs and social media weighing in on BC politics, as we attempt to provide you with a nuanced appreciation of those issues of paramount concern to you and your family. Hope to see you back here often.
(Full, and the most up-to-date, coverage of the 2013 British Columbia provincial election is available by clicking on Decision BC 2013)
(For those of you who arrived here looking for coverage of last week’s Kitsilano Community Centre AGM — as sorry an example of untoward democratic engagement as you’re ever likely to witness — VanRamblings’ coverage of the KitsCC AGM may be found here. The Vancouver Courier’s Sandra Thomas has written about the KitsCC AGM, as well, her coverage of the delirious, anti-community meeting to be found here.)